Sondazhet e para p\u00ebr zgjedhjet britanike reflektojn\u00eb nj\u00eb fitore d\u00ebrrmuese t\u00eb Partis\u00eb Laburiste, e cila projektohet deri n\u00eb 410 mandate n\u00eb Parlamentin britanik.<\/p>\n
Kjo do t\u00eb b\u00ebnte q\u00eb t\u00eb kthehej jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb partin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb ishull tashm\u00eb, por edhe n\u00eb nj\u00eb fuqi t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb vetme, ku p\u00ebr shumic\u00ebn duhen 326 ul\u00ebse.<\/p>\n
Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, konservator\u00ebt e udh\u00ebhequr nga Rishi Sunak, sipas projeksioneve, arrijn\u00eb n\u00eb jo m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 131 mandate, n\u00eb nj\u00eb ndryshore abisale nga zgjedhjet e fundit dhe diferenc\u00eb e jasht\u00ebzakonshme prej laburist\u00ebve.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb kuota t\u00eb k\u00ebnaqshme jan\u00eb liberal-demokrat\u00ebt me 61 mandate t\u00eb projektuara, reformator\u00ebt shkojn\u00eb n\u00eb 13, SNP n\u00eb 10 dhe mandatet e tjera ndahen me pjes\u00ebn e mbetur.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebto kushte, Keir Starmer \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe i projektuari p\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb kryeministri i ardhsh\u00ebm britanik.<\/p>\n
Starmer, n\u00eb nj\u00eb postim n\u00eb X (ish-Twitter) t\u00eb botuar menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas shpalljes s\u00eb sondazheve t\u00eb para, fal\u00ebnderoi t\u00eb gjith\u00eb ata q\u00eb \u201ce kan\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb besimin e tyre n\u00eb partin\u00eb ton\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshuar t\u00eb Pun\u00ebs\u201d.<\/p>\n
Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, Rishi Sunak, kreu i konservator\u00ebve dhe tashm\u00eb kryeminist\u00ebr n\u00eb largim, nuk ka reaguar ende p\u00ebr rezultat e para.<\/p>\n
Transmetuesit kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb exit poll q\u00eb nga vitet 1970 dhe n\u00eb t\u00eb kaluar\u00ebn ka pasur disa gabime spektakolare. N\u00eb tetor 1974, nj\u00eb sondazh i BBC-s\u00eb tha se laburist\u00ebt do t\u00eb fitonin me shumic\u00eb, kur n\u00eb fakt Harold Wilson fitoi me nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 1987, BBC dhe ITV (q\u00eb prodhonin sondazhe rivale n\u00eb ato dit\u00eb) n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsuan keq se sa e madhe do t\u00eb ishte shumica e Margaret Thatcher, dhe t\u00eb dy parashikuan nj\u00eb parlament t\u00eb varur n\u00eb 1992 kur John Major fitoi nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl.<\/p>\n
Por n\u00eb vitin 2005 metodologjia ndryshoi dhe q\u00eb at\u00ebher\u00eb exit poll-et kan\u00eb qen\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsisht shum\u00eb t\u00eb sakta. Prof Sir John Curtice \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb krye t\u00eb ekipit dhe puna \u00ebsht\u00eb porositur bashk\u00ebrisht nga BBC, ITV dhe Sky News. Nga pes\u00eb exit poll-et e m\u00ebparshme t\u00eb llogaritura duke p\u00ebrdorur k\u00ebt\u00eb metod\u00eb, dy mor\u00ebn shumic\u00ebn sakt\u00ebsisht, dy dol\u00ebn jasht\u00eb me m\u00eb pak se 10, dhe nj\u00eb doli me 22. K\u00ebtu jan\u00eb detajet.<\/p>\n
2005 \u2013 i sakt\u00eb: Parashikoi nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb laburiste prej 66, e cila ishte e sakt\u00eb.<\/p>\n
2010 \u2013 e sakt\u00eb: Ai tha se konservator\u00ebt do t\u00eb kishin 19 vende m\u00eb pak p\u00ebr nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb, dhe ata ishin.<\/p>\n
2015 \u2013 gabim me 22 mandate: Ai tha se konservator\u00ebt do t\u00eb kishin 10 vende m\u00eb pak se shumica, por ata mor\u00ebn nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb prej 12.<\/p>\n
2017 \u2013 gabim me 4 mandate: Ai tha se konservator\u00ebt do t\u00eb kishin 12 vende m\u00eb pak nga shumica, por ata ishin tet\u00eb vende m\u00eb pak.<\/p>\n
2019 \u2013 gabim me 6 mandate: Parashikonte nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb konservatore prej 86, por ishte 80.<\/p>\n
The post Laburist\u00ebt drejt fitores historike me 410 mandate n\u00eb zgjedhjet britanike<\/a> appeared first on Albanian Post<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sondazhet e para p\u00ebr zgjedhjet britanike reflektojn\u00eb nj\u00eb fitore d\u00ebrrmuese t\u00eb Partis\u00eb Laburiste, e cila projektohet deri n\u00eb 410 mandate n\u00eb Parlamentin britanik. Kjo do t\u00eb b\u00ebnte q\u00eb t\u00eb kthehej jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb partin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb ishull tashm\u00eb, por edhe n\u00eb nj\u00eb fuqi t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb vetme, ku p\u00ebr shumic\u00ebn duhen 326 ul\u00ebse. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5881,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5880","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5880","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5880"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5880\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5881"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5880"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5880"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5880"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}