Lucio Caracciolo, si zgjohet Amerika pas sulmit t\u00eb Butlerit?<\/p>\n
\u201cMe vet\u00ebdijen se ka t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn dy Amerika, ajo q\u00eb mish\u00ebrohet n\u00eb Trump dhe ajo q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e kapur lodhsh\u00ebm pas Bidenit. Rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb se n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara me 450 milion\u00eb arm\u00eb p\u00ebr 330 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb prirje ndaj dhun\u00ebs ky nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb episod. Nga nj\u00eb k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrim i caktuar, ky sulm nuk duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb befasues, sepse ndodh n\u00eb nj\u00eb klim\u00eb tashm\u00eb t\u00eb dhunshme verbalisht dhe p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye \u00ebsht\u00eb i p\u00ebrsosur p\u00ebr kalimin n\u00eb dhun\u00eb fizike\u201d.<\/p>\n
Dhe tani? Urrejtja th\u00ebrret urrejtje?<\/p>\n
\u201cUrrejtja \u00ebsht\u00eb tashm\u00eb aty, sulmi nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb rrufe n\u00eb qiell, p\u00ebrplasja mes Trump dhe Biden \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm pasqyrimi i nj\u00eb situate gangrenoze prej vitesh n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend t\u00eb ndar\u00eb, ku Trumpian\u00ebt mendojn\u00eb se jan\u00eb Amerika dhe anasjelltas. Nj\u00eb situat\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn ka nj\u00eb Amerik\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb.\u201d<\/p>\n
A do t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb civile n\u00eb aj\u00ebr n\u00eb politik\u00ebn e jashtme amerikane, e cila deri m\u00eb tani ka ndjekur nj\u00eb linj\u00eb homogjene?<\/p>\n
\u201cInhomogjeniteti \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fakt. Prej disa koh\u00ebsh t\u00eb gjith\u00eb duket se jan\u00eb pozicionuar n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb klim\u00eb nga e cila rrjedh humbja e Bidenit, duke filluar nga Zelenski, i cili gjendet n\u00eb nj\u00eb situat\u00eb kritike duke e ditur se n\u00eb nj\u00eb afat t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr ndihma, n\u00ebse ka, nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb e nj\u00ebjta\u201d.<\/p>\n
Teoricien\u00ebt e konspiracionit po \u00e7menden.<\/p>\n
\u201cDo t\u00eb d\u00ebgjojm\u00eb \u00e7do gj\u00eb, vras\u00ebsi i supozuar ka vdekur dhe nuk do ta dim\u00eb kurr\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00ebn. Ata do t\u00eb thon\u00eb se nuk ishte ai. Por kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb historia e Kennedy, nj\u00eb ngjarje e papritur: ky sulm \u00ebsht\u00eb krejt\u00ebsisht brenda klim\u00ebs aktuale\u201d.<\/p>\n
Putini do t\u00eb f\u00ebrkoj\u00eb duart.<\/p>\n
\u201cUn\u00eb nuk mendoj se Putini \u00ebsht\u00eb aq i qet\u00eb, sepse lufta i lodh edhe ata q\u00eb iu duket se po e fitojn\u00eb at\u00eb n\u00eb terren. Por ne nuk duhet t\u00eb mendojm\u00eb vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr Putinin, k\u00ebtu hapet nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt e Amerik\u00ebs dhe p\u00ebr aleat\u00ebt e saj m\u00eb pak besnik\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt mendojn\u00eb t\u00eb krijojn\u00eb nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb \u200b\u200bautonome p\u00ebr veten e tyre, si Turqia. Dhe nj\u00eb faz\u00eb e pasigurt hapet p\u00ebr Per\u00ebndimin, i shqet\u00ebsuar nga fakti se Uashingtoni tani do t\u00eb ket\u00eb p\u00ebrpar\u00ebsi t\u00eb tjera p\u00ebrve\u00e7 siguris\u00eb s\u00eb tij\u201d.<\/p>\n
\u00c7far\u00eb ndryshon p\u00ebrshpejtimi i historis\u00eb s\u00eb SHBA p\u00ebr BE-n\u00eb?<\/p>\n
\u201cShum\u00eb. Evropa nuk e kuptoi t\u00ebrmetin e 22 shkurtit 2022. Vendet per\u00ebndimore vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb mendojn\u00eb p\u00ebr pushtimin e Ukrain\u00ebs si nj\u00eb plag\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb sh\u00ebrohet her\u00ebt a von\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa vendet lindore jan\u00eb t\u00eb bindura se Putini, i cili konsiderohej i p\u00ebrfunduar disa vite m\u00eb par\u00eb, mund t\u00eb t\u00eb mb\u00ebrrij\u00eb n\u00eb Paris. Evropa ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrshtatur me bot\u00ebn e re q\u00eb ka ndryshuar kaq shpejt\u201d.<\/p>\n
A na tregon samiti i fundit i NATO-s se po nxitojm\u00eb drejt riarmatimit?<\/p>\n
\u201cDuhet t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb dallime. Nj\u00eb vend si Polonia shpenzon tashm\u00eb 4% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb s\u00eb tij p\u00ebr arm\u00eb dhe s\u00eb shpejti do t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb n\u00eb 5%. Jan\u00eb vendet balltike, vija e frontit anti-rus, dhe ka nga ata q\u00eb e thon\u00eb, por nuk e b\u00ebjn\u00eb. E v\u00ebrteta \u00ebsht\u00eb se ka munges\u00eb t\u00eb burimeve njer\u00ebzore p\u00ebr nj\u00eb ekonomi lufte, pak evropian\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb regjistrohen p\u00ebr atdheun e tyre, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb Per\u00ebndim. Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb interesat e veta. Evropa nuk ka forca t\u00eb armatosura p\u00ebr t\u2019u mbrojtur dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur gjithmon\u00eb n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn n\u00ebn\u00eb, por kjo ndihm\u00eb tani do t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb pak e dh\u00ebn\u00eb, kushdo q\u00eb t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
A nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb koha q\u00eb BE t\u00eb planifikoj\u00eb nj\u00eb ushtri t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt?<\/p>\n
\u201cJo sepse nuk ka asnj\u00eb subjekt politik q\u00eb mund t\u00eb shprehet, nj\u00eb minist\u00ebr i Mbrojtjes k\u00ebrkon nj\u00eb shtet dhe jemi 27 vende, me histori t\u00eb ndryshme dhe ide t\u00eb ndryshme se kush \u00ebsht\u00eb armiku. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, edhe sikur t\u00eb ishte e mundur, do t\u00eb duheshin dekada. Le t\u00eb fillojm\u00eb m\u00eb mir\u00eb nga gj\u00ebrat konkrete, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb ekzistenca e nj\u00eb riarmatimi minimal dhe lidhja Atlantike pa t\u00eb cil\u00ebn gjith\u00e7ka mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
A \u00ebsht\u00eb Putin nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim ushtarak p\u00ebr Bashkimin Evropian?<\/p>\n
\u201cBE \u00ebsht\u00eb e gjer\u00eb. P\u00ebr Irland\u00ebn nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb, p\u00ebr skandinav\u00ebt mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb. Por mua nuk m\u00eb duket se Putini ka ndonj\u00eb q\u00ebllim p\u00ebr t\u00eb pushtuar Evrop\u00ebn dhe n\u00ebse do ta b\u00ebnte, ai nuk do t\u00eb ishte n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb b\u00ebnte shum\u00eb sepse kjo do t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptonte shnd\u00ebrrimin e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend n\u00eb luft\u00eb. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, Putini nuk ka burime p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkuar m\u00eb tej\u201d.<\/p>\n
A do t\u00eb jet\u00eb Lufta e Tret\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore?<\/p>\n
\u201cLuft\u00ebrat jan\u00eb zbuluar se jan\u00eb globale pasi i kemi luftuar, k\u00ebshtu ka qen\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb par\u00ebn dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb dyt\u00ebn. Asnj\u00ebher\u00eb nuk e dini se kur fillon. Por luft\u00ebrat pa politik\u00eb dhe diplomaci zgjerohen, jam i shqet\u00ebsuar se sot nuk shoh as nj\u00ebr\u00ebn dhe as tjetr\u00ebn, gjith\u00e7ka i \u00ebsht\u00eb besuar arm\u00ebve dhe gjith\u00e7ka mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
A mjafton diplomacia p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur veten n\u00eb nj\u00eb bot\u00eb t\u00eb dhunshme?<\/p>\n
\u201cAlternativa \u00ebsht\u00eb xhungla. P\u00ebr fat t\u00eb mir\u00eb, ka ende njer\u00ebz q\u00eb mendojn\u00eb. Edhe sot b\u00ebhen akorde n\u00eb prapasken\u00eb. Rusia dhe Shtetet e Bashkuara, p\u00ebr shembull, kan\u00eb mekanizma dialogu gjysm\u00eb automatik. P\u00ebrve\u00e7 Ukrain\u00ebs q\u00eb lufton p\u00ebr mbijetes\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb Evropa ajo q\u00eb rrezikon m\u00eb shum\u00eb, e d\u00ebrrmuar n\u00eb p\u00ebrplasjen midis Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara dhe Rusis\u00eb, n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn Pekini fiton tani p\u00ebr tani\u201d.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb em\u00ebr t\u00eb diplomacis\u00eb, a duhet Evropa t\u00eb heq\u00eb dor\u00eb nga zbatimi i ligjit nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar n\u00eb vend?<\/p>\n
\u201cNuk ka asnj\u00eb ent evropian dhe p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye nuk mund t\u00eb ushtroj\u00eb asnj\u00eb veprim diplomatik, nuk ka Blinken evropian. Disa vende evropiane kan\u00eb nj\u00eb monedh\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt, por kjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb asgj\u00eb nga pik\u00ebpamja politike. Kush flet p\u00ebr 27 vende me opinione t\u00eb ndryshme? Ajo q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb praktike \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb disa vende t\u00eb ndajn\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr nisma t\u00eb tilla si nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsimi i Sarkozy n\u00eb Gjeorgji n\u00eb 2009 ose n\u00eb Kiev n\u00eb 2014. Fatkeq\u00ebsisht sot nuk e shoh k\u00ebt\u00eb konvergjenc\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse Ukraina do t\u00eb kishte refuzuar Memorandumin e Budapestit dhe do t\u00eb kishte ruajtur arsenalin e saj b\u00ebrthamor, a do t\u00eb ishte pushtuar?<\/p>\n
\u201cUn\u00eb me t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb nuk mendoj k\u00ebshtu, por n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb Kievi kishte 2000 bomba atomike dhe ishte fuqia e tret\u00eb bot\u00ebrore, askush nuk do ta kishte pranuar nj\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb, madje as Amerika\u201d.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse parandalimi me forc\u00eb nuk fiton, fitojn\u00eb prepotent\u00ebt.<\/p>\n
\u201cParandalimi me forc\u00eb zgjati deri n\u00eb vitin 2022, kur Putini tregoi se nuk kishte frik\u00eb prej tij. Sot, me Amerik\u00ebn n\u00eb kaos, rind\u00ebrtimi i saj \u00ebsht\u00eb i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. Dhe sa p\u00ebr prepotent\u00ebt, un\u00eb jam kund\u00ebr personalizimit t\u00eb luft\u00ebs, n\u00ebse Putini do t\u00eb vdiste situata nuk do t\u00eb ndryshonte. Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb Rusia. Dhe Ukraina e di q\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb kthehet kurr\u00eb n\u00eb kufijt\u00eb e \u201991-shit, negociatat sot nuk kan\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb me kufijt\u00eb, por me statusin e Ukrain\u00ebs, t\u00eb \u00e7militarizuar si\u00e7 d\u00ebshiron Putini ose t\u00eb Atlanticizuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb garantuar sigurin\u00eb e saj. Duke ditur se hyrja e Kievit n\u00eb NATO \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb premtim i destinuar t\u00eb mbetet n\u00eb let\u00ebr, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht me k\u00ebt\u00eb Amerik\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
A do t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb Trump?<\/p>\n
\u201cBiden mund t\u00eb z\u00ebvend\u00ebsohet. \u00c7\u00ebshtja n\u00ebse ai mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsoj\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn nuk ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me t\u00eb ardhmen, por me t\u00eb sotmen. Dhe sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb q\u00eb kalon koha, aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb Trump b\u00ebhet fituesi i mundsh\u00ebm\u201d.<\/p>\n
Marr\u00eb nga \u201cLa Stampa\u201d, p\u00ebrshtatur p\u00ebr \u201cAlbanian Post\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n The post Analisti politik Lucio Caracciolo: Vendi \u00ebsht\u00eb plot me arm\u00eb dhe urrejtja po rritet, ka dy Amerika dhe ato nuk flasin m\u00eb me nj\u00ebra-tjetr\u00ebn<\/a> appeared first on Albanian Post<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Lucio Caracciolo, si zgjohet Amerika pas sulmit t\u00eb Butlerit? \u201cMe vet\u00ebdijen se ka t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn dy Amerika, ajo q\u00eb mish\u00ebrohet n\u00eb Trump dhe ajo q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e kapur lodhsh\u00ebm pas Bidenit. Rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb se n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara me 450 milion\u00eb arm\u00eb p\u00ebr 330 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb prirje ndaj dhun\u00ebs ky nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6515,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6514"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6514\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6515"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6514"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6514"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}