\u201cN\u00eb djall vafshin ato q\u00eb thon\u00eb sondazhet sot, e them si ekspert. Mund t\u2019i hedhim t\u00eb gjith\u00eb n\u00eb kosh: ato jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn nj\u00eb jav\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb dhe krahasojn\u00eb Biden me Trump. Natyrisht ata kan\u00eb ende si favorit republikanin. Por personalisht un\u00eb mendoj se ai \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb njeri i mbaruar. Demokrat\u00ebt mund ta fitojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Dhe n\u00eb \u00e7do rast nuk duhet t\u00eb shikojm\u00eb kurr\u00eb efektin e menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm t\u00eb nj\u00eb ngjarjeje \u2013 t\u00eb sht\u00ebnat n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast \u2013 por at\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb. Ka pak koh\u00eb, por tani e tutje fushata do t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb nj\u00eb hap tjet\u00ebr, do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb e shpejt\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
Larry Sabato \u00ebsht\u00eb politologu n\u00eb krye t\u00eb Qendr\u00ebs p\u00ebr Politik\u00eb n\u00eb Universitetin e Virxhinias, autor i eseve t\u00eb shumta dhe v\u00ebzhgues i mpreht\u00eb i politik\u00ebs amerikane, p\u00ebr t\u00eb cilin shkruan n\u00eb nj\u00eb buletin gjithnj\u00eb plot informacion, \u201cSabato\u2019s Crystal Ball\u201d.<\/p>\n
A e zhvendosi v\u00ebrtet Donald Trumpin l\u00ebvizja e Biden?<\/p>\n
\u201cAi sigurisht kishte frik\u00eb prej saj. Le t\u00eb jemi t\u00eb qart\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb, Trump dhe ekipi i tij shpresonin d\u00ebshp\u00ebrimisht t\u00eb kishin Biden si kund\u00ebrshtar. E gjith\u00eb fushata u nd\u00ebrtua p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar Biden e moshuari, t\u00eb paaft\u00eb. Dhe k\u00ebshtu ndryshimi n\u00eb gar\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb lajm i keq p\u00ebr ta. Tani ata duhet t\u00eb rimendojn\u00eb gjith\u00e7ka, t\u00eb rishkruajn\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb strategjin\u00eb. Dhe n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb q\u00eb ata po p\u00ebrgatisnin sulme kund\u00ebr Harris, tani p\u00ebr tani ata q\u00eb kan\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebt: imitojn\u00eb t\u00eb qeshur\u00ebn e saj, Trump e quajti at\u00eb \u201ct\u00eb \u00e7mendur\u201d. Por ata ende nuk kan\u00eb arritur ta sulmojn\u00eb at\u00eb p\u00ebr faktet. Me pak fjal\u00eb, l\u00ebvizja e Biden i hedh kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt e tij n\u00eb kaos shum\u00eb m\u00eb tep\u00ebr sesa demokrat\u00ebt\u201d.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb konsiston optimizmi juaj? Pse mendoni se Harris mund ta mposht Trumpin?<\/p>\n
\u201cHarris do ta detyroj\u00eb at\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb argumentesh. Jav\u00ebt e fundit t\u00eb gjith\u00eb jan\u00eb fokusuar te mosha e Bidenit, duke l\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb hije t\u00eb metat e Trump. Por ai gul\u00e7ohet, thot\u00eb gj\u00ebra q\u00eb nuk kan\u00eb kuptim dhe pa asnj\u00eb grimc\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb, e pam\u00eb n\u00eb kongres ku fjalimi i pranimit u shnd\u00ebrrua n\u00eb nj\u00eb monolog pa rim\u00eb dhe arsye, 90 minuta. Tani ai do t\u00eb ket\u00eb dik\u00eb p\u00ebrball\u00eb q\u00eb mund ta kthej\u00eb at\u00eb n\u00eb rrug\u00ebn e fakteve. Dhe edhe n\u00ebse ai do t\u00eb ishte n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigjej me arsye, gj\u00eb q\u00eb dyshoj, askujt nuk i intereson v\u00ebrtet ato q\u00eb thot\u00eb Trump. Fjal\u00ebt e tij nuk i l\u00ebvizin votat. T\u00eb gjith\u00eb e din\u00eb q\u00eb ai g\u00ebnjen, madje edhe t\u00eb vet\u00ebt. Dhe Trump nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb gati t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb grua me gjak t\u00eb p\u00ebrzier. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuptim, gjetja e saj si sfiduese do ta b\u00ebj\u00eb at\u00eb t\u00eb pendohet q\u00eb nuk zgjodhi Nikki Haley-n si z\u00ebvend\u00ebsin e tij\u201d.<\/p>\n
Brenda Partis\u00eb Demokratike, a do t\u00eb guxoj\u00eb dikush ta sfidoj\u00eb z\u00ebvend\u00ebspresidenten?<\/p>\n
\u201cN\u00ebse dikush d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb reklamohet, le t\u00eb hyj\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb vend i lir\u00eb. Me siguri do t\u00eb dalin disa emra, por pa q\u00ebllime serioze. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb rast\u00ebsi q\u00eb e vetmja q\u00eb ka njoftuar tashm\u00eb se d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb kandidoj\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb Marianne Williamson, e cila shet libra p\u00ebr vet\u00ebndihm\u00eb. Por do t\u00eb jet\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb privohet Harris nga nominimi. Shum\u00eb e kan\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur tashm\u00eb, t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt do ta b\u00ebjn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Ndoshta ka nga ata si Obama q\u00eb shpresojn\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb proces m\u00eb t\u00eb hapur, mini-primare, por p\u00ebr t\u2019i dh\u00ebn\u00eb asaj nj\u00eb investim, jo \u200b\u200bp\u00ebr ta eliminuar\u201d.<\/p>\n
A ekziston rreziku p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur n\u00eb nj\u00eb kongres t\u00eb hapur?<\/p>\n
\u201cZoti na ruajt. Un\u00eb jam mjaft i vjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr t\u00eb par\u00eb di\u00e7ka t\u00eb till\u00eb si n\u00eb koh\u00ebn e p\u00ebrleshjes mes Jimmy Carter dhe Ted Kennedy dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb nj\u00eb tragjedi: njer\u00ebz q\u00eb i b\u00ebrtasin nj\u00ebri-tjetrit ose ngrihen e largohen, protesta, fytyra t\u00eb zem\u00ebruara. Keto nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb sh\u00ebndetshme. P\u00ebrfundojn\u00eb keq. Nj\u00eb eventualitet i till\u00eb nuk do t\u2019i lejonte partis\u00eb t\u2019i bashkonte s\u00ebrish pjes\u00ebt deri n\u00eb n\u00ebntor. Por 99 p\u00ebrqind e delegat\u00ebve ishin t\u00eb p\u00ebrkushtuar t\u00eb votonin p\u00ebr Biden: ata nuk do t\u2019i kthejn\u00eb shpin\u00ebn Harris-it. Shum\u00eb, pra, do t\u00eb varet nga koha kur 800 super delegat\u00ebt \u2013 emrat e m\u00ebdhenj dhe zyrtar\u00ebt e partis\u00eb \u2013 do t\u00eb lejohen t\u00eb votojn\u00eb. Ata nuk pritet ta b\u00ebjn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb deri n\u00eb votimin e dyt\u00eb, por rregullat ende mund t\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, kandidati do t\u00eb jet\u00eb Kamala, gjasat q\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb dikush tjet\u00ebr jan\u00eb pothuajse zero. Edhe pse, n\u00eb k\u00ebto zgjedhje t\u00eb \u00e7mendura, kurr\u00eb mos thuaj kurr\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
Disa thon\u00eb se Biden ishte aq hezitues p\u00ebr t\u2019u larguar, sepse ai nuk beson se ajo mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb \u2026<\/p>\n
\u201cThe New York Post, nj\u00eb gazet\u00eb konservatore, thot\u00eb k\u00ebshtu dhe ajo d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb insinuoj\u00eb dyshime n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb delikate. Ishte thjesht e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr Biden t\u00eb kuptonte se koha e tij kishte kaluar. Presidenca ishte aspirata e gjith\u00eb karrier\u00ebs s\u00eb tij politike. N\u00eb vitin 2020 ai fitoi zgjedhje shum\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira dhe tani sapo ishte propozuar kandidat me p\u00ebrqindje shum\u00eb t\u00eb larta. N\u00eb fund, ai hoqi dor\u00eb sepse k\u00ebshtu i than\u00eb njer\u00ebzit q\u00eb ai kishte besim, miqt\u00eb q\u00eb ai e dinte se ishin n\u00eb an\u00ebn e tij, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt sigurisht nuk po komplotonin kund\u00ebr tij. Ai ndoshta ende beson n\u00eb zem\u00ebr se mund t\u00eb kishte fituar, por p\u00ebrfundoi duke pranuar realitetin e situat\u00ebs dhe shifrat. Gjendja e tij po p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shpejt, \u00ebsht\u00eb aty p\u00ebr ta par\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb. Tashm\u00eb ishte e pamundur t\u00eb \u201cshitej\u201d si president p\u00ebr kat\u00ebr vitet e ardhshme, kur t\u00eb gjith\u00eb ishin t\u00eb bindur se ai nuk do ta p\u00ebrballonte as p\u00ebr kat\u00ebr muajt e par\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
The post Politologu Larry Sabato: Pa Biden si armik, Trump \u00ebsht\u00eb i mbaruar<\/a> appeared first on Albanian Post<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u201cN\u00eb djall vafshin ato q\u00eb thon\u00eb sondazhet sot, e them si ekspert. Mund t\u2019i hedhim t\u00eb gjith\u00eb n\u00eb kosh: ato jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn nj\u00eb jav\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb dhe krahasojn\u00eb Biden me Trump. Natyrisht ata kan\u00eb ende si favorit republikanin. Por personalisht un\u00eb mendoj se ai \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb njeri i mbaruar. Demokrat\u00ebt mund ta fitojn\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6907,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6906","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6906","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6906"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6906\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6907"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6906"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6906"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiogjilani.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6906"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}